Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Closes April 19, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$895K
Liquidity
$55K
Bid / Ask
36% / 37%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
37%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $895K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1890669
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5: 53%, there be a run scored in the first inning?: H: 47%, Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5): 45%.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
40% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
37% YES (-2.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-3.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this