Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 13?
Closes April 13, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -6.2pp below current market price; market at 97% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -2.9% ↓, ETH -4.2% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
98% / 98%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 13?" at 97% YES / 3% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 97%, NO 3%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891904
This event has 25 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 12: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 13: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 13?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
+17.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this