Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 13?
Closes April 13, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing ETH -0.5% ↓, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
68% / 70%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
69%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 13?" at 68% YES / 32% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 69%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 68%, NO 32%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891966
This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 68%, price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 27%, price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~4%.
price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 13, 2026
Biggest move: +13.5pp
50% → 63%
Apr 13, 2026
Current
66% YES (+7.5pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this