ForecastMind
Markets/Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
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Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

46%YES
55%NO

Volume 24h

$14K

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

43% / 45%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

46%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1892274

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: 89%, Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: 1H Moneyline: 80%, Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5: 54%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

46% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

44% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 46%99%
Buy YES@ 46¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 54¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this