ForecastMind
Markets/Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
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Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

35%YES
66%NO

Volume 24h

$960K

Liquidity

$34K

Bid / Ask

1% / 2%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

35%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage" at 35% YES / 65% NO. In the last 24 hours, $960K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage." Prediction market snapshot: YES 35%, NO 65%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1896696

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (B: 100%, Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3: 100%, Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) : 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-22.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 35%99%
Buy YES@ 35¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 66¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this