ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5
Share on X

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5

Closed April 8, 2026

Polymarket Price

16%YES
84%NO

Volume 24h

$118K

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

2% / 3%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

16%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $118K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1910627

Outcome Markets11 markets

This event has 11 active outcome markets. Thunder vs. Lakers: 100%, Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 109.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+4.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 8, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

54%

Apr 8, 2026

Current

54% YES (+4.0pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 16%99%
Buy YES@ 16¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 84¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this