ForecastMind
Markets/Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
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Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)

Closes April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$474K

Liquidity

$193K

Bid / Ask

91% / 96%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

84%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $474K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 84%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1919691

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5): 100%, Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5: 28%, Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5): 28%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+14.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

42% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

56%

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: +17.0pp

39% → 56%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

56% YES (+17.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this