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Markets/Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
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Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Closes April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

48%YES
53%NO

Volume 24h

$161K

Liquidity

$219K

Bid / Ask

47% / 48%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

48%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $161K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 48%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1919698

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) : 81%, Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL: 71%, Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3: 48%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 48%99%
Buy YES@ 48¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 53¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this