Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Closes April 16, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$0
Bid / Ask
49% / 50%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
50%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1920079
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliass: 100%, Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud: Total : 50%.
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
44% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
54%
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: +9.5pp
44% → 54%
Apr 9, 2026
Peak probability
54% YES — highest in period
Apr 9, 2026
Current
50% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this