Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz
Closes April 16, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$988K
Liquidity
$128K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $988K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1922217
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Valentin Vacherot vs. Hubert Hurkacz: Total S: 100%, Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot : 54%.
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
87% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Trough probability
36% YES — lowest in period
Apr 9, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
36%
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: -46.5pp
82% → 36%
Apr 9, 2026
Current
100% YES (+29.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this