ForecastMind
Markets/Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5
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Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5

Closes April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES
49%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$167K

Bid / Ask

51% / 52%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

52%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1923837

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5: 51%, Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5: 50%, Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5: 47%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Current

52% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 51%99%
Buy YES@ 51¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 49¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this