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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 16?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 16?

Closes April 16, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$3

Liquidity

$22K

Bid / Ask

99% / 100%

Spread

0.60pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 16?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 16, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 16?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1928740

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this