Alcaraz vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5
Closes April 17, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Alcaraz vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 17, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Alcaraz vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1932106
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5): 100%, Alcaraz vs. Bublik: Match O/U 21.5: 0%, Alcaraz vs. Bublik: Match O/U 23.5: 0%.
Alcaraz vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
14%
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: -36.0pp
50% → 14%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this