ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5
Share on X

Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$17K

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1933255

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Magic vs. Bulls: 100%, Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5: 0%, Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5: 0%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-55.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

35%

Apr 11, 2026

Biggest move: -21.0pp

56% → 35%

Apr 11, 2026

Current

0% YES (-17.9pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this