Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$404K
Liquidity
$22K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Rockets (-10.5)" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $404K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Spread: Rockets (-10.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1933824
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Spread: Rockets (-10.5): 14%, Spread: Rockets (-9.5): 2%, Spread: Rockets (-11.5): 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~84%.
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Apr 10, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: -8.5pp
48% → 40%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
40% YES (-8.5pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this