Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$41K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1937372
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✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
48% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Trough probability
23% YES — lowest in period
Apr 11, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
76%
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: +48.5pp
28% → 76%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
100% YES (+24.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this