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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 17?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 17?

Closes April 17, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
94%FIS
−2ppvs market 96%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -1.7pp below current market price; market at 96% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.4% ↓, ETH -2.4% ↓, S&P +1.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -0.4% ↓, ETH -2.4% ↓, S&P +1.2% ↑
-1.7pp
Live compute08:30 PM

Polymarket Price

96%YES
5%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

95% / 96%

Spread

1.20pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+2.6pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 17?" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 17, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 17?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1938119

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 96%99%
Buy YES@ 96¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly11.1%
½ Kelly5.6%
Buy NO@ 5¢

-11.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 11.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this