Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 17?
Closes April 17, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.5pp below current market price; market at 82% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.3% ↓, ETH -2.4% ↓, S&P +1.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$601
Liquidity
$18K
Bid / Ask
82% / 84%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
88%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 17?" at 83% YES / 17% NO. In the last 24 hours, $601 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 88%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 17, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 17?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 83%, NO 17%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1938121
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-2.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this