ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?
Share on X

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?

Closes April 17, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$522

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

1% / 3%

Spread

1.20pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+5.3pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $522 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 17, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1938131

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢
Edge

+5.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 98¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+5.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this