Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
Closes April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.4M
Liquidity
$453K
Bid / Ask
44% / 45%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
45%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs" at 20% YES / 80% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.4M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 20%, NO 80%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1939793
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 100%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5): 20%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 0%.
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Buc
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
46% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
45% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this