Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
Closes April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$338
Bid / Ask
32% / 39%
Spread
7.00pp
Expert Signal
36%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1939800
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5): 50%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 50%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 45%.
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
39% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
39% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this