Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot
Closes April 18, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.1M
Liquidity
$276K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot" at 94% YES / 6% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 18, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot." Prediction market snapshot: YES 94%, NO 6%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1940793
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs : 94%, Carlos Alcaraz vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total S: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~6%.
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin V
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
90% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
100% YES (+1.4pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this