Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Closes April 19, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$428K
Liquidity
$777K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $428K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1948620
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets : 0%, Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs : 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~100%.
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
46% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
80%
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: +33.5pp
47% → 80%
Apr 12, 2026
Current
80% YES (+33.5pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this