US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
FM Estimate
38%Market Price
39%This event has 2 active outcome markets. June 30, 2026: 67%, May 31, 2026: 26%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~7%.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?" at 67% YES / 33% NO. In the last 24 hours, $65K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 67%, NO 33%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1962237