Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13?
Closes April 14, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +4.1pp above current market price; market at 25% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.6% ↑, ETH +0.9% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$35K
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
28% / 31%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
25%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13?" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 25%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1965073
This event has 19 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 13?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 60%.
Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
16% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Biggest move: -21.0pp
48% → 27%
Apr 13, 2026
Peak probability
48% YES — highest in period
Apr 13, 2026
Current
27% YES (-21.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this