ForecastMind
Markets/Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
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Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)

Closes April 14, 2026

Polymarket Price

35%YES
65%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$113K

Bid / Ask

34% / 36%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

35%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)" at 35% YES / 65% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 35%, NO 65%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1969990

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5: 62%, Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5: 52%, Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: 42%.

Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
62%
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
52%
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets
42%

Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)

35%
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5
30%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

34% YES

Apr 14, 2026

Current

36% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Apr 14, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 35%99%
Buy YES@ 35¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 65¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this