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Markets/Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
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Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?

Closes July 16, 2026

Polymarket Price

30%YES
71%NO

Volume 24h

$233

Liquidity

$577

Bid / Ask

7% / 52%

Spread

45.00pp

Expert Signal

30%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?" at 30% YES / 70% NO. In the last 24 hours, $233 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 45.00 percentage points. The market closes on July 16, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 30%, NO 70%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1972629

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Bank of Korea increase the base rate after th: 44%, Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after th: 34%, Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate: 30%.

Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Mee
44%
Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Mee
34%

Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the

30%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 30%99%
Buy YES@ 30¢
Edge

+1.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 71¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this