Market Closed
This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
FM Estimate
75%Market Price
76%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Donald Trump visit China in 2026?: 94%, June 30: 86%, May 31: 80%.
Trump visit China by May 15?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump visit China by May 15?" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $39K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-21). "Will Trump visit China by May 15?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1985666