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Markets/Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
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Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

4%YES
96%NO
Vol 24h$29K
Liquidity$25K
Bid / Ask4% / 4%
Spread0.30pp
ClosesJun 30, 2026

FM Estimate

2%

Market Price

4%
↑ Overpriced 1.7pp
Macro fundamentals-4.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplo: 91%, Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplo: 91%, J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomat: 75%.

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

-2.7pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $29K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-19). "Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986504