US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
FM Estimate
37%Market Price
40%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 3 active outcome markets. December 31: 40%, May 31: 24%, April 30: 4%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~33%.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 40%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-17). "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2006983