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Markets/Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?
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Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?

27%YES
73%NO
Vol 24h$137K
Liquidity$39K
Bid / Ask22% / 23%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesApr 20, 2026

FM Estimate

32%

Market Price

27%
↓ Underpriced 5.9pp
Macro fundamentals+5.9pp
low confidence · 1 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets14 markets

This event has 14 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?: 39%, Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?: 27%, Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?: 6%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~22%.

Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
39%

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?

27%
Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
6%
Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
2%
price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 21?
2%
price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on Apri
1%
Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
1%
Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
0%
Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?
0%
Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?
0%
Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
0%
price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 20?
0%
price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 20?
0%
price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 20?
0%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?" at 27% YES / 73% NO. In the last 24 hours, $137K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 25%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on April 20, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 27%, NO 73%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2015042