Markets/Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings - Completed match?

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings - Completed match?

Market Price

99%YES

1%NO

Vol 24h$444

Liquidity$67

Bid / Ask99% / —

ClosesMay 2, 2026

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The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Outcome Markets2 markets

2 deadline markets, spanning the full probability space.

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punj

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab King

99%

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punj

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab King

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Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings - Completed match?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $444 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on May 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-25). "Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings - Completed match?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2015215