Markets/LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner

Market Price

38%YES

62%NO

Vol 24h$63K

Liquidity$123K

Bid / Ask100% / —

ClosesMay 2, 2026

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The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets2 markets

2 deadline markets. Combined YES = 137% — 37pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) -

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Ro

100%

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winne

38%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

+49.5pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $63K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on May 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-02). "LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2084206