Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 3?
Market Price
FM Estimate
84%Gap Signal
low confidence · 1 signals
This market's 82% probability of Bitcoin trading between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 3 is significant as it reflects a recent 8 percentage point price momentum increase, indicating heightened current market conviction in this specific price range approaching that date. The upward movement, despite related markets showing 0% probabilities for earlier dates, suggests a concentrated focus and expectation for this outcome within a narrow future window.
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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6 deadline markets. Market implies ~12% chance none resolve YES.
price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,0
price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on M
price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on M
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 3?" at 69% YES / 31% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 82%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on May 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-03). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 69%, NO 31%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2086787