Golden Knights vs. Utah

Market Price

100%YES

0%NO

Vol 24h$1.3M

Liquidity$0

ClosedMay 2, 2026

Game Summary

Outcome

YES

Market resolved

Price swing

50pp

High–low range

Volume traded

$1.3M

24h total

Probability During Game · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate

+50.0pp

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets6 markets

6 deadline markets. Combined YES = 208% — 108pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Golden Knights vs. Utah

100%

Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

45%

Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5

33%

Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues

VenueProb.YES %vs Poly

Polymarket

—anchor

kalshi_sports

——

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Golden Knights vs. Utah" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.3M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on May 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-02). "Golden Knights vs. Utah." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2116427