Markets/Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

Market Price

34%YES

66%NO

Vol 24h$952K

Liquidity$113K

Bid / Ask33% / 34%

Spread1.00pp

ClosesMay 1, 2026

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The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets2 markets

2 deadline markets. Combined YES = 133% — 33pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals

100%

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST R

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals G

34%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate

+8.0pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B" at 34% YES / 66% NO. In the last 24 hours, $952K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 33%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on May 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-30). "Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B." Prediction market snapshot: YES 34%, NO 66%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2121354