New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5

Market Price

100%YES

0%NO

Vol 24h$416

Liquidity$348K

ClosedMay 2, 2026

Game Summary

Outcome

YES

Market resolved

Volume traded

$416

24h total

Liquidity

$348K

Market depth

Why this mattersAI-synthesized

The New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels Over/Under 6.5 total runs market is critical for assessing collective sentiment regarding the Mets' scoring potential, especially given its 100% price mirrors related markets where other Mets games also show a full consensus. This widespread 100% outcome in sibling markets suggests a strong, unified expectation of high run totals when the Mets are involved, making the current pricing a significant indicator of prevailing predictive consensus.

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $416 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on May 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-02). "New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2136437