76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 203.5

Market Price

66%YES

34%NO

Vol 24h$36K

Liquidity$10K

Bid / Ask60% / 68%

Spread8.00pp

ClosedMay 2, 2026

Game Summary

Outcome

YES

Market resolved

Volume traded

$36K

24h total

Liquidity

$10K

Market depth

Probability During Game · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

MarketFM Estimate

+4.5pp

Why this mattersAI-synthesized

The 76ers vs. Celtics O/U 203.5 market is critical due to its significant 12 percentage point price increase to 66% in zero days, directly coinciding with the news of a Game 7 matchup. This rapid escalation suggests a market consensus forming around the over, driven by the high-stakes nature of a deciding game.

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

✦ Unlock with Pro

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets10 markets

10 deadline markets. Combined YES = 502% — 402pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline

100%

76ers vs. Celtics

80%

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 203.5

66%

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 203.5" at 66% YES / 34% NO. In the last 24 hours, $36K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 65%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00pp. The market closes on May 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-03). "76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 203.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 66%, NO 34%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2143151