ForecastMind
Markets/New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
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New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Closes July 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

59%YES
41%NO

Volume 24h

$483

Liquidity

$27K

Bid / Ask

58% / 60%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

59%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?" at 59% YES / 41% NO. In the last 24 hours, $483 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 59%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on July 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 59%, NO 41%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/540818

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?: 63%, New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?: 59%.

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

59%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

60% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Current

59% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 5, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 59%99%
Buy YES@ 59¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 41¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this