Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
24%YES
76%NO
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$15K
Bid / Ask20% / 22%
Spread2.00pp
FM Estimate
21%Market Price
21%Aligned
Macro fundamentals+2.2pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 20%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-21). "Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/630924