ForecastMind
Markets/StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
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StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Closes January 1, 2027

Polymarket Price

13%YES
87%NO

Volume 24h

$185

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

12% / 14%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

13%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $185 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/676517

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 13%99%
Buy YES@ 13¢

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EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 87¢

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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this