Markets/Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
82%YES
18%NO
Vol 24h$21
Liquidity$15K
Bid / Ask81% / 82%
Spread1.00pp
FM Estimate
80%Market Price
82%↑ Overpriced 1.6pp
Macro fundamentals-2.3pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?" at 82% YES / 18% NO. In the last 24 hours, $21 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 82%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 82%, NO 18%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/814612