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Markets/Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
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Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?

14%YES
86%NO
Vol 24h$428
Liquidity$12K
Bid / Ask14% / 16%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesMay 19, 2026

FM Estimate

15%

Market Price

15%
Aligned
Macro fundamentals+2.4pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Christine Drazan: 47%, Ed Diehl: 35%, Chris Dudley: 14%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~2%.

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

No historical data yet
Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket14%anchor
PredictIt

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $428 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on May 19, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-21). "Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/825535