ForecastMind
Markets/Islanders vs. Sabres
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Islanders vs. Sabres

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

37%YES
64%NO

Volume 24h

$60K

Liquidity

$184K

Bid / Ask

36% / 37%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

37%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Islanders vs. Sabres" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $60K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Islanders vs. Sabres." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1499933

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

36% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

36% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 37%99%
Buy YES@ 37¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 64¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this