USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
18% / 19%
Spread
1.20pp
Expert Signal
19%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/690622
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
24% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Current
26% YES (+0.2pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this