Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Closes December 19, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$326
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
16% / 18%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
17%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $326 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1349154
This event has 26 active outcome markets. Inter Miami CF: 20%, Los Angeles FC: 17%, San Diego FC: 10%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~6%.
Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
13% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
18% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this