ForecastMind

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?

2027

Consensus Probability

6%
Weak5%
Polymarket8% avg · 13 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Outcome Breakdown

1.25%26%
2.0%13%
1.5%12%
4.25%10%
1.75%9%
0.5%6%
0.25%6%
4.5%5%
5.25%4%
5.5%4%
4.75%4%
5.0%3%
Implied total (sum of outcomes)100%

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?(0.5%)6%$81Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?(5.25%)4%$74Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?(0.25%)6%$61Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?(4.75%)4%$60Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?(5.5%)4%$24Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?(1.5%)12%$20Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?(2.0%)13%$14Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?(5.0%)3%$386child
PolymarketWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?(4.5%)5%$255child
PolymarketWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?(4.25%)10%$254child
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?6%$222standalone
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?(1.75%)9%$60child
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?(1.25%)26%$53child
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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? — 6% Consensus | ForecastMind