Market Closed
This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
FM Estimate
49%Market Price
54%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 19 active outcome markets. the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP): 97%, the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC): 57%, the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)): 54%.
Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the mos
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $432 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1004371