Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$395K
Liquidity
$16K
Bid / Ask
5% / 6%
Spread
0.60pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
10 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
5% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
5% YES (-0.3pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $395K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1370738
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