ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5
Share on X

Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5

Closed March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES
49%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

79% / 87%

Spread

8.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Ducks vs. Oilers

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-49.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

72% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

22%

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: -31.5pp

54% → 22%

Mar 28, 2026

Current

22% YES (-31.5pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 51%99%
Buy YES@ 51¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 49¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1476574